Tuesday, May 20, 2008

我看马哈迪退党/ Impact of Mahathir leaving UMNO

前首相敦马哈迪医生退出巫统!
这项决定无不让马来西亚人民震惊。已退休的敦马绝对不是一名普通的巫统党员,他领导这个国家和巫统长达22年,任期间为国家社稷贡献良多,虽然今天已卸下一切,但他在人民及党员心中年高德劭,为人敬重。
尽管如此,马哈迪其实也是个普通人,和一般人一样会有许多惹人非议的弱点。退党可谓是敦马使尽全力的最后一击来迫使阿都拉辞职,这项决定让巫统党员晴天霹雳,不过我相信他无法如愿,阿都拉不会因此辞职。
相反的,敦马这么做只会削弱巫统和国阵的力量,加剧阿都拉和党内亲敦马派系的裂痕,使原本应集中力量检讨308大选和整顿党的巫统,却把精力都放在修补内讧导致的破墙。
巫统过去在国阵及大马政治体系的主导和强势角色已走到关键路口,目前,巫统继308大选后遭受的非议声浪已越来越高。敦马退党效应若使巫统大受影响、扰乱政局,肯定在国阵牵一发动全身,殃及其他成员党。
我个人不太相信会有很多巫统党员步敦马的后尘,这是因为党员们觉得胆怯、有背叛感,而这种观念已根深蒂固。不过,不排除有许多党员会是如前副首相慕沙希旦形容的“肉中刺”,在内部继续暗中角力,上演永无止休的内部权力斗争。
国阵向来主张不干预各党的内政事务,因此其他成员党只能不断祷告,期望巫统结束这场互相指责的游戏,检讨并早日重振巫统。
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Mahathir leaving UMNO has come as a shock to most Malaysians. Mahathir is no ordinary UMNO member. He led this country and was president of UMNO for 22 years as well as being the Prime Minister of Malaysia. While he has done a lot for the country, Mahathir, like all human beings, has also many weaknesses of which we can be critical of. Leaving UMNO is the last straw to force the Prime Minister to resign, but I do not think Pak Lah will resign.

Mahathir’s action only serves to weaken UMNO and BN within UMNO. The divide between Abdullah and the pro Mahathir forces will be aggravated and the UMNO leadership will have to spend time mending fences and doing damage control rather then moving forward and addressing important and pressing issues in the post electoral aftermath.

Since UMNO is affected and destabilized, it will definitely affect other component parties in BN. UMNO’s dominance in BN and national politics has reached the crossroads and more and more people are critically re-evaluating the role of UMNO since the elections.

I sincerely doubt that large numbers of UMNO members will follow what Mahathir has done since the feeling of fear and patronage is still deeply embedded in UMNO.

Since BN practices the concept of non-interference in the internal politics of component parties, component parties of BN can only hope that UMNO re-evaluates and re-organizes itself, instead of being entangled in the blame game.

18 comments:

Jason ANG-blog shooter said...

From Dr M resignation to a nation Economy and politic problem......I worry Malaysia future

Dr M resignation will further weaken the Malaysia political stability, from the economic point of view, as a normal citizen we are worry about the current global problem like commodity price is raising , obviously the Oil is the main issue. USA have a sign of economic downturn already, this will be impact to Malaysia sooner or later. The former Deputy PM of Singapore Dr Tan had warned Singaporean to be get ready for the next economic turmoil.

Lets look into above matter added the instability of Malaysia political issue, would Malaysia will hit by both issue ? This is the worry, if both Economical and political issue hit our beloved Malaysia, are we strong enough like 1997 to solve the above both problem.

Today i just got some Singapore dollar from Singapore to exchange to Malaysia Ringgit, surprisingly SGD1 is equal to RM2.363. This should be the highest in this year.are this the sign of economy turmoil is coming?................

Further to this , the global natural disaster in Myanmar and china also further worsen the world economy. as a IT and Businessman , i have a feeling that the economy nightmare is coming............... be ready.........

Howard Lim said...

一个还活着的领袖,不应该只看他的过去,尤其是一个有魄力及有魅力的领袖,小弟认为,看他在做些什么,如何做,会带来什么影响要重要得多,每个行为的背后,必有其正面的动机,敦马有此一着,用心斐浅。

按照巫统文化,会选择跟随敦马脚步的肯定不多,这一点,他老人家领导巫统多年,知道的比谁都来得清楚明了,尤其是当今日我们看到慕克里兹(Mukhriz Mahathir)的动向,加倍明白;我们更知道敦马不是那种发空枪,平白浪费弹药的人(毕竟这一发子弹珍贵非凡,得来不易,不仅聚其多年心血,亦主宰着儿子的前途!),因此,其动机更是一幕玄疑...

我们可以这么假设,这一枪不是试金石,也许只是布局的开端,更加激烈的动作应该陆续有来,敦马不至于将慕克里兹的政治前途给赔上。

我们不禁要问几个有点愚蠢的问题:

敦马不退党,会发生什么事?
敦马不退党,不会发生什么事?
敦马退党,会发生什么事?
敦马退党,不会发生什么事?

问题可能有点蠢,但其动机亦在其中。

KIMHO8 said...

老馬留下的是KL blah blah, blah blah JAYA.....等,永恒進步的腳步卻沒實現,也為國家留下了很多很大的問題! 國際媒體都對他議論紛紛,導致世界對大馬質疑。

那群hyenas已對這頭Lion King嘴里的肥肉虎視眈眈,日夜的跟隨,早都等得不耐煩了。

當初貪污濫權腐敗留下爛攤子的老馬下臺后,人民對所謂的Mr.Clean上臺都抱著很大的期望。唉, 后來又怎樣!

hongkie123 said...

Dr Chua was right to say that not many will UMNO. And "perjuangan negara, bangsa dan agama" and love for the party have nothing to do with it. I was not surprised of the support shown by UMNO MP to PM. Who in UMNO is not afraid of losing contracts, patronage and most importantly money? Also, there is the risk their scandals will be exposed. So fear of losing everything is also one reason they cling on to UMNO and it appears the rakyat got to suffer until a rightous and just person takes over. Also, Tun Mahathir is not indispensable. So is Badawi the PM. Malaysia will continue to function even if both were to disappear now with some temporary instability.

10th PM said...

The stage is set for a group of UMNO leaders to use Mahathir's influence to challenge Pak Lah-Najib alliance. This group will eventually split from UMNO and form its own party. Then, this group will try to replace Keadilan and offer better deals to other party to form the new coalition.

daniel said...

hongkie, that is baseless. How can you say that is the basis for them staying in umno? The way i see it is everyone has their own reasons for staying and to group all of them like that is unfair. Just like Dr. M's decision to leave umno, what is it really based on, nobody truly knows. Is it really for his "love" for umno and it is his last desperate attempt to save it or is it for other personal reasons? Try to look at it in different perspectives.

malayamuda said...

Dr Mahathir said as a doctor if there is a part of the body which is gangrenous which could cause the whole body to become diseased, he would amputate that part of the body.

We also know , from the little baby who lost her foream in Klang GH sometime ago ,that if a gangrenous part is left alone to rot it would automatically fall off after some time which is known as auto-amputation.

Dr Mahathir has realised that he is gangrenous to UMNO and has decided to auto amputate himself.

Thank You Doc !!

Lysendar said...

Dear Dr. Chua,

The impact of Dr. M leaving UMNO, will not only affect the UMNO, but also the country as a whole. However, i hope the PM will handle it wisely in order not to affect the stablity of the country politic and economic as a whole. It is a very tricky problem, and it should be handled properly.
On the other hand, it is right of DR. M who wish to quit from the party, however, as the former leader, i personally think, DR. M should take the future of the counrty into consideration, should look at the whole picture. Yes, Dr. M got the right to crictise on the policies that the current government practise, however, there are other ways to do it. As Dr. M was the former leader, he should know that it is not easy to run the country with the high-fly result in short time. Dr. M was the PM for 22 years, but the current PM only serve for 5 years. We shouldn't compare them in this way. We should give the PM Badawi more time to perform. We shouldn't too fast to jump into conclusion.
Hope that everything will be settled in a peaceful way. God Bless.............

Pearls said...

Yup, I too don't think that good for nothing dumbshit of a PM will resign. I can only speculate why... shameless!!

As for the rest of the suckup ass MPs, well, what can I say? Of course, these buggers will not resign! They dont have the balls to do anything.. what more walk out and do something that is righteous such as saving their association or race. These buggers are too self absorbed and greedy to even stand up! Again, shameless!!

I noticed that UMNO goes through such crisis every few years. First, it was Mahathir with Tuanku then now, is..Mahathir with Badawi. It looks like some boxing match!! Anyway, as a non-malay, I really dont care about their internal fighting. If anything, I would say, let them fight and kill each other like dogs. Afterall, they will not be missed! Nature's way of getting rid of scums perhaps?! Bwahahahahaha!!! I am such a bitch!

Melayu mudah lupa... that statement by Mahathir is so true.

malayamuda said...

Mahathir with Hussein Onn
Mahathir with Tunku Abdul Rahman
Mahathir with Anwar
Mahathir with Daim
Mahathir with Razaleigh
Mahathir with Musa
Mahathir with AAB
Mahathir with King Ghaz

its always Mahathir against someone else. And in all cases Mahathir was always right.

All offices and Departments MUST have a potrait of Mahathir and we must pay homage to this Father of Modern Malaysia everyday

Allen said...

Dr Chua,

Why don't you analyse the reasons why Dr M could not let go all these years? Are there something he could not afford to lose.

He is already old. He should take a rest.

Khoo Yong Hian said...

老马以退党来逼“伯拉”下台,也要他为败选负责。看来这次说了重话又极少的人跟随他退党,连他儿子也不跟,他的“马脸”不知该往哪里摆。
如果当年他在位的时候谁要是说出这句话,我想不是被革职就是以内安法令逮捕他,告他造成党及国家不安。
Mmmm。。。我想问的是,政府为什麽没有以内安法令告他呢? 不是法律之下人人平等吗? 可悲。。
敦马好好的过你的退休生活啦,没Power又没Lobang,谁要给你脸。 ”吃饱“了那么多年还不够吗? 你留下给”伯拉的“苏州屎”,他都没怨言。而且他所做的一切还不是你当年留下来的优良传统吗?你做可以,他做不可以吗?

Anak Johor said...

Personally, I would not think Dr Mahathir's resignation will have a great impact on Malaysian politics, albeit some initial knee jerk reactions from the stock market and create some front-page news.

I had a lot of respect for the man who had done so much for the country, bringing Malaysia from basically an agricultural country to quite an industrialised one. Of course over the years, he had also created so much cronyism and nepotism, not to mention the extent of corruption in the country.

I personally think that since Abdullah is his own choice as successor, Dr. Mahathir should have retired happily and not continue to meddle and criticize in the running of the government, more so when his attacks on Abdullah are so vitriolic, we sometimes wonder what is in his mind.

UMNO is already quite a rotten party, if it does not change and take heed of the needs of the rakyat, especially non-Malays, it is not going to gain the confidence of the voters, comes GE13.

Now that almost all UMNO MP are backing Abdullah, even his own son also does not want to leave UMNO (of course Mukhriz has his own objective of targeting the position of UMNO Youth chief). Over the months, key UMNO people, having the year-end party election in mind, have all begun to desert him. Where is Dr. Mahathir heading? He might still have a few old guards, people like Sanusi Junid with him.

Pearls said...

malayamuda,

Aiyah.. the photo thingy is some sort of rule for business premises la... it is not Mahathir's picture la... it is the current Prime Minister together with the Agung and wifey and sometimes the MB of that State. Oh ya.. got protocol on how to place the pictures and also got their official pictures too which by the way, you have to pay for it. Go check it out with the PM's department la..

When you go to any of the inefficient government offices or agencies, you will now see a waffle looking man punya picture like Christmas ornaments on the wall. Yes la, he is the current PM la. Nope, he is not selling waffles or promoting Christmas!

Whatever it is, if I have give my support to either Mahathir or Badawi, I will give to Mahathir anytime! Yah, he is no saint and there are times he make mistakes but that is because he is human. In my record, his contributions outweigh his mistakes. He fulfilled his duties as the PM of the country no matter what people think or have to say about him. Yah, tyranny is sometimes needed in our country where people are not always matured and wise.

Say what you like, aside from all the modernization achievements, the best gift he has given any Malaysian is the ability to believe in ourselves that we can do it and we are to be acknowledged and respected as a nation. You think any of the pass, present or even future PMs can do what he did?! Nah... they are too self absorbed and dumb to even save their sorry ass....

daniel said...

malayamuda, its ALWAYS a case of Mahathir vs everyone and he always seem *think* he is always the right one.

As of now, he's so determined to topple Pak Lah because he's bloody afraid Pak Lah will open up more skeletons from mahathir's era.

Pearls said...

Daniel,

Wait a minute.... If Mahathir is afraid of Badawi bursting his closet full of skeletons, dont you think Mahathir would have suck up to Badawi's ass, no matter how disgusting it might look and err... Ok, I wont say..??

Mahathir is a very clever and cunning person who knows what to do for the good of himself. Going against the numero uno is the most unclever thing to do to hide skeltons.

Wake up la!! Mahathir is already 82years old! What is there for him to hide anymore? What is there materially for him to claim that he has not claimed in his whole 82 years of life? He is already at that stage where he has complete the full circle of life (well, nearly..) and is most probably at peace with himself, getting ready to meet his maker and all.. Why do you think he is doing what he doing? He got nothing else better to do izzit?

Think again, an 82 years old man who never give himself an excuse to fumble and miss out in what life has to offer.. is not someone you can understand easily.

You might think he is a real Lucifer and you are all geared up to condemn and stone him to meet his maker but ask yourself if you are in his shoes, would you have done it any better? Would you have been more righteous, fair, just, blah, blah, blah, all that says GODLY? Would you? I dare say I won't. I am being frank...

So, don't simply feel all so gungho and righteous about condeming Mahathir when you dont have a blinking idea what it is like to be him sitting on that chair managing millions of "children"(as in the citizen of Malaysia who mostly have the maturity of 5 years old) for 22 tiring years!

Yah, I like that old man.. I think he has done a tremendous good job.

daniel said...

If that is the case, good for Mahathir to leave umno and retire peacefully once and for all. Then if he has already led a full life, he should just sit still and let the predecessor that he himself choose continue whatever he left of.. Knowing Abdullah, he is not the same character as mahathir, so i doubt he would act like how mahathir did.

I had my full support and admiration for mahathir but not until he started going ding dong in abdullah's era. In Mahathir's tenure too he imposed a gazillion rules to make sure everyone follows his ways and now even after stepping down he is still doing that endlessly. I say enough is enough, just let pak lah do his job.

Jason Wong said...

敦马哈迪医生退出巫统, 巫统受的是内伤, 不是外伤. 党内一盘散沙, 各有各打算. 党选后胜者不能为王, 败者不愿为寇, 巫统必定去势.

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